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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4 hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $2037.91

 

Kijun-Sen- $2020.95

 

Gold trades in a narrow range after hitting a month high. It hit a high of $2052.04 yesterday and is currently trading around  $2045.24.

 

US GDP grew at an annualized rate of 5.2% in Q3, compared to a forecast of 5%.

 

Major economic data for the day

 

Nov 30th, 2023, Core PCE index  (1:30 pm GMT)

 

                        

US dollar index-   Bearish. Minor support around 102/100. The near-term resistance is 103/104.50.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Dec decreased to 97.10% from 99.70% a day ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield trades flat ahead of US PCE data. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to  -38% from -52%.

 

 Factors to watch for gold price action-

     

   Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)

 

  US dollar index - Weak (positive for gold)

 

  US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)

 

Technical:

The near–term support is around $2030, a break below targets of $1980/$1965/$1950/$1929/$1900/$1850. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2050 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2070/$2100.

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $2020 with SL around $2000 for TP of $2070.

 

 

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