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The US dollar index pared some of its gains on weak US retail sales. It declined by -0.80% in Jan compared to a forecast of -0.20%. It hit a low of 104.18 yesterday and is currently trading around 104.44.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in Mar increased to 89.5% from 81% a week ago.
The US 10-year yields pared some of its gains after weak US economic data. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -34.50% from -53%.
Major resistance- 105/106
Major support- 104.50/103.80.
EURUSD-
EURUSD showed a minor pullback after two weeks of bearish trend. The Empire State manufacturing index rose to -2.4 in Jan vs. the Forecast of -13.70, from -43.7 the previous month. The number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits rose by 212000 in the week ended Feb 10 compared to a forecast of 219K.
Major resistance-1.0760,1.0800
Major support- 1.070,1.06600
Yen-
The pair consolidating ahead of US PPI data. Any break above 152 confirms further bullishness.
Major Resistance- 151,152
Major support- 148,146.50
Canadian Dollar
The Canadian dollar showed a minor uptick in strong Crude oil prices. Canada's manufacturing sales fell by 0.70% in Dec, below the estimate of -0.50%.
Resistance- 1.3600,1.3660
Major support- 1.3480,1.3435
