Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4 hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2034.38
Kijun-Sen- $2031.82
Gold recovered slightly despite upbeat US economic data. US Conference Board consumers rose to 110.70 in Nov, compared to a forecast of 104.60. US existing home sales increased 0.80% unexpectedly in Oct to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.82 million vs. an Estimate of 3.77 million.
It hit a low of $2047.01 and is currently trading at around $2036.28.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Jan increased to 12.4% from 10.2% a week ago.
Economic calendar -
Dec 21st, 2023, US Final GDP q/q (1:30 pm GMT)
US unemployment claims (1:30 pm GMT)
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 101.75/101. The near-term resistance is 103.25/104.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bearish (positive for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2015, a break below targets of $2000/$1970. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2050 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2070/$2100.
It is good to buy on dips around $2000 with SL around $1986 for TP of $2150.
Silver-
Silver broke significant resistance at $24.30 after a long consolidation. The near-term resistance is around $24.50. Any convincing break above $24.50, a jump to $25/$26. Minor support is $23.60/$23.
Crude oil-
WTI crude pared some of its gains after the US crude inventory report. According to EIA US oil inventory came at 2909k compared to a forecast of 2283K.
Major resistance- $75/80. Significant support- $66.50/$63.


Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty
Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 



