Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics 
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2034.09
Kijun-Sen- $2028.76
Gold pared some of its gains after weak US durable goods orders. It declined by 6.1% to $276.7 billion in Jan, well below market expectations of -4.9%. Core durable goods orders dropped to -0.30% vs. an Estimate of 0.20%. US CB consumer confidence came below the estimate of 114.80. While Richmond manufacturing remained flat in Feb. The yellow metal hit a low of $2027 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $2029.19.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in Mar increased to 97.50% from 92% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 103.40/102.70. The near-term resistance is 104.20/105.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bearish (Bullish for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bullish (negative for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2020, a break below targets of $2010/$2000/$1970/$1956/$1930. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2042 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2060/$2070/$2080/$2100.
It is good to buy on dips around $2000 with SL around $1970 for TP of $2065/$2080.
Silver-
Silver breaks the temporary low formed on Feb 26th at $22.44 and holds below that level. It trades below 21, 55- EMA, and 200 EMA in the 4-hour chart. The near-term resistance is around $22.75 and a break above confirms an intraday bullishness. A jump to $23/$23.60/$24 is possible. Any violation below $22.20 targets $21.90/$21.40/$20.68.
Crude oil-
WTI crude oil gained momentum due to the escalation of tension in the Middle East. The recent actions by Iran supporters also pushed oil prices higher. The supply disruptions are due to ongoing strikes in the Red Sea. Any jump above $80 confirms a further bullishness.
Major resistance- $78.90/$80. Significant support- $75.70/$74.
