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Further fiscal slippage likely limited for South Africa

South Africa is seeing weak growth and higher public wage settlements, which imply challenges for the government's promises of reducing budget deficit and stabilizing the debt/GDP ratio.

The government presented a gradual pace of fiscal consolidation than earlier announced in its medium term budget statement. IT revised its expectations up for the consolidated deficit to 3.3% of GDP in 2016/17 and 3.2% in 2017/18.

"The room for any further fiscal slippage is limited", says Nordea Bank. 

Fitch forecasts the gross general government debt (which includes local government) to increase to 51% of GDP at end 2015/16, which is above the 'BBB' range median of 43%.

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