The United States Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate three times in 2018 while adopting two more hikes through this year. The central bank left monetary policy unchanged after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 3, as was widely expected.
The implication of a largely unchanged statement is that a rate hike on June 14 is still very much on the cards. Notably, the Fed said that the slowing of Q1 economic growth is "likely to be transitory". A range of Fed speakers since that meeting has reaffirmed its intention to raise interest rates twice more this year.
Markets are pricing a high probability of over 90 percent of a June rate rise, according to Fed funds futures on Bloomberg, but are less convinced of a further rise in the second half of the year.
"We expect the Fed to raise policy rates two more times this year, in June and September, to 1.50 percent and three times in 2018 to 2.25 percent," Lloyds Bank commented in its latest research report.
With interest rate rises well under way, the Fed is expected to start unwinding its asset holdings built up as a result of its QE policy. This could be achieved by tapering reinvestments of maturing assets, potentially starting as early as the back end of this year. Meanwhile, more details will be forthcoming in the coming months, with concrete proposals possibly emerging after the September FOMC meeting.


South Korea Inflation Edges Up in November as Food and Service Costs Climb
Tech Stocks Lift S&P 500 as Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Rise
Indonesia Aims to Strengthen Rupiah as Central Bank Targets 16,400–16,500 Level
Fed Rate Cut Odds Rise as December Decision Looks Increasingly Divided
UK Raises Deposit Protection Limit to £120,000 to Strengthen Saver Confidence
IMF Deputy Dan Katz Visits China as Key Economic Review Nears
Trump and Lula Discuss Trade, Sanctions, and Security in “Productive” Phone Call
Oil Prices Rise as Geopolitical Tensions and Supply Risks Intensify
FxWirePro: Daily Commodity Tracker - 21st March, 2022
South Korea Posts Stronger-Than-Expected 1.3% Economic Growth in Q3
RBA Reassesses Pricing Behaviors and Policy Impact Amid Inflation Pressures




