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Euro area inflation to fall into negative territory in September

Preliminary consumer prices for Germany came in even weaker than expectation. The HICP inflation rate of German fell to -0.2% in September, from +0.1% previously, weaker than consensus (0.0%) projections. 

"Euro area "flash" HICP inflation is expected to decline to -0.1% in September (to be released tomorrow), from +0.1% y/y in August. Underpinning our forecast is the expectation that Italian HICP inflation (also to be released tomorrow) has declined to +0.3% from +0.4% in August. We continue to expect euro area core inflation to have remained unchanged at +0.9% y/y in September", says Barclays.

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