The U.S. dollar hovered near multi-year lows on Friday, pressured by expectations of deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts and uncertainty surrounding global trade negotiations ahead of a key July 9 deadline for new tariffs.
Traders are increasingly pricing in dovish shifts from the Fed, with markets now expecting 64 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, up from 46 basis points earlier in the week. Recent congressional testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell was seen as more dovish, fueling speculation that President Donald Trump may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October—months ahead of Powell’s term ending in May.
Reports suggest Trump is considering replacing Powell to install a more rate-cut-friendly leader. Though no decision is final, such a move could undermine Powell’s authority and introduce volatility into markets, especially if the nominee voices contrasting views.
The dollar index (DXY) was at 97.378, its lowest since March 2022, and is on track for a 2% loss in June—marking six consecutive months of decline. The euro traded at $1.1693 after touching a 2021 high of $1.1745, while the British pound held near $1.3733. The Swiss franc stood at 0.8013, its strongest level in a decade, and the yen slipped slightly to 144.73 per dollar.
Meanwhile, global trade remains in focus. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz urged the EU to pursue a “quick and simple” deal with the U.S., while a White House official confirmed progress with China on accelerating rare earth shipments. These developments come as nations rush to finalize trade agreements before the upcoming U.S. tariff deadline.
The weakening dollar reflects both policy uncertainty and mounting investor concerns over U.S. economic momentum.


Vietnam’s November Trade Sees Monthly Decline but Strong Year-on-Year Growth
IMF Deputy Dan Katz Visits China as Key Economic Review Nears
Europe Confronts Rising Competitive Pressure as China Accelerates Export-Led Growth
BOJ Faces Pressure for Clarity, but Neutral Rate Estimates Likely to Stay Vague
China Urged to Prioritize Economy Over Territorial Ambitions, Says Taiwan’s President Lai
U.S. Futures Steady as Rate-Cut Bets Rise on Soft Labor Data
Japan’s Nikkei Drops as Markets Await Key U.S. Inflation Data
U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut
Dollar Weakens Ahead of Expected Federal Reserve Rate Cut
Fed Meeting Sparks Division as Markets Brace for Possible Rate Cut
European Oil & Gas Stocks Face 2026 With Cautious Outlook Amid Valuation Pressure
Russia Stocks Close Flat as MOEX Hits 1-Month High
Austria’s AA Credit Rating Affirmed as Fitch Highlights Stable Outlook
Spain’s Industrial Output Records Steady Growth in October Amid Revised September Figures
Citi Sets Bullish 2026 Target for STOXX 600 as Fiscal Support and Monetary Easing Boost Outlook
Asian Currencies Steady as Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Fed Rate Cut Bets 



