The U.S. dollar remained steady on Tuesday, hovering close to a three-month high, as mixed signals from the Federal Reserve prompted traders to scale back expectations for further interest rate cuts. Investors are also closely watching the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where policymakers are expected to keep rates unchanged.
The yen weakened to 154.38 per dollar, near its lowest level in over eight months, triggering concerns of possible intervention from Japanese authorities. Meanwhile, differing opinions among Fed officials and a lack of official economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown have fueled uncertainty about the central bank’s policy direction.
After last week’s rate cut, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that it could be the final reduction for the year. Market pricing now shows a 65% probability of another cut in December, down from 94% a week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. This recalibration in expectations has supported the dollar, with the euro slipping 0.11% to $1.1506 and the British pound easing to $1.312. The dollar index rose 0.1% to 99.99, marking a three-month high.
The shutdown has limited access to key economic data, leaving investors reliant on private reports such as ADP’s employment data. A recent ISM survey revealed that U.S. manufacturing contracted for the eighth consecutive month in October, underscoring economic weakness. Analysts at MUFG warned that prolonged shutdown risks could further dampen growth.
In Asia, the yen’s continued weakness contrasts with the Bank of Japan’s cautious stance, even as Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at possible tightening later this year. Analysts expect further yen depreciation unless the BOJ acts soon.
The Australian dollar traded around $0.6535 ahead of the RBA meeting. Stronger-than-expected inflation data has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts, with markets now anticipating only one cut by mid-2026. Economists predict the RBA could strike a more hawkish tone, potentially bolstering the Australian dollar in the coming sessions.


Russia Stocks End Flat as Energy and Retail Shares Show Mixed Performance
Indonesia–U.S. Tariff Talks Near Completion as Both Sides Push for Year-End Deal
U.S. Dollar Slides for Third Straight Week as Rate Cut Expectations Boost Euro and Pound
Brazil Holds Selic Rate at 15% as Inflation Expectations Stay Elevated
BOJ Expected to Deliver December Rate Hike as Economists See Borrowing Costs Rising Through 2025
Asian Stocks Slip as Oracle Earnings Miss Sparks AI Profitability Concerns
Fed Rate Cut Signals Balance Between Inflation and Jobs, Says Mary Daly
ADB Approves $400 Million Loan to Boost Ease of Doing Business in the Philippines
Gold Prices Dip as Markets Absorb Dovish Fed Outlook; Silver Eases After Record High
Wall Street Futures Dip as Broadcom Slides, Tech Weighed Down Despite Dovish Fed Signals
Hong Kong Cuts Base Rate as HKMA Follows U.S. Federal Reserve Move
US Signals Openness to New Trade Deal as Brazil Shows Willingness, Says USTR Greer
S&P 500 Slides as AI Chip Stocks Tumble, Cooling Tech Rally
Asian Stocks Rally as Tech Rebounds, China Lags on Nvidia Competition Concerns
Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Indian Rupee Slides to Record Low on Fed Outlook
Modi and Trump Hold Phone Call as India Seeks Relief From U.S. Tariffs Over Russian Oil Trade 



