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Gold Drops Below $4,000 as Strong US Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Expectations Pressure Bullion 
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Oil Prices Drop as Strait of Hormuz Shipping Recovers 
Australia Jobs Growth Strengthens Rate Hike Outlook 
White House Seeks $87.6 Billion Emergency Funding for Iran War, Farmers, and Ebola Response 
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US Dollar Slips After PCE Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Expectations 
South Korea’s KOSPI Jumps Over 5% as Samsung, SK Hynix Rally on Micron Earnings Boost 
Morgan Stanley Sees Chinese Auto Market Recovery Gaining Momentum in Late Summer 
Oil Prices Rebound as Strait of Hormuz Tensions Return After Ship Attack Near Oman 
South Korea’s KOSPI Plunges as Apple Price Hikes and OpenAI IPO Delay Shake AI Chip Stocks 
Trump Requests $11 Billion More in Farm Aid as Rising Costs Pressure U.S. Farmers 
The U.S. dollar remained steady on Tuesday, hovering close to a three-month high, as mixed signals from the Federal Reserve prompted traders to scale back expectations for further interest rate cuts. Investors are also closely watching the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where policymakers are expected to keep rates unchanged.
The yen weakened to 154.38 per dollar, near its lowest level in over eight months, triggering concerns of possible intervention from Japanese authorities. Meanwhile, differing opinions among Fed officials and a lack of official economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown have fueled uncertainty about the central bank’s policy direction.
After last week’s rate cut, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that it could be the final reduction for the year. Market pricing now shows a 65% probability of another cut in December, down from 94% a week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. This recalibration in expectations has supported the dollar, with the euro slipping 0.11% to $1.1506 and the British pound easing to $1.312. The dollar index rose 0.1% to 99.99, marking a three-month high.
The shutdown has limited access to key economic data, leaving investors reliant on private reports such as ADP’s employment data. A recent ISM survey revealed that U.S. manufacturing contracted for the eighth consecutive month in October, underscoring economic weakness. Analysts at MUFG warned that prolonged shutdown risks could further dampen growth.
In Asia, the yen’s continued weakness contrasts with the Bank of Japan’s cautious stance, even as Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at possible tightening later this year. Analysts expect further yen depreciation unless the BOJ acts soon.
The Australian dollar traded around $0.6535 ahead of the RBA meeting. Stronger-than-expected inflation data has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts, with markets now anticipating only one cut by mid-2026. Economists predict the RBA could strike a more hawkish tone, potentially bolstering the Australian dollar in the coming sessions.
