Rising money supply in China, both M1 and M2 reflect that the economy’s banking deposits are undergoing structural changes.
In the latest monetary statistics released by the People’s Bank of China on May 13, a smaller-than-expected loan growth did not surprise markets, given renewed concerns over deleveraging , the divergent development between the two measures of money supply, M1 and M2, has gained a lot of attention, ANZ reported.
M1 recorded a rapid growth of 22.9 pct y/y, the highest level since 2011, suggesting that the previous surge seen in March (22.1 pct y/y) was not a one-off incident. However, the conventional gauge of China’s money supply, M2 data, printed worse than market expectations, with the growth rate at 12.8 pct in April compared to 13.4 pct in March and 13.5 pct market consensus, data released showed.
"Looking deeper at the change, we think it is driven by corporate hoarding of cash and investing in short-term financial products, and the booming housing market," ANZ commented in its recent research note.
Economic growth in China has slowed. The market is now adapting to an ‘L-shaped’ growth path, rather than a ‘U-shaped’ or ‘V-shaped’ recovery. The tightness in lending is expected to reduce the possibility of a near-term growth rebound. With loan extensions constrained by the tightened lending policy, banks will likely allocate more of their assets to the bond market, the report mentioned.


Trump's Iran War Speech Sparks Market Anxiety Over Extended Conflict
Australia's Trade Surplus Surges in February on Gold Export Boom
Oil Prices Hold Near Multi-Year Highs Amid Iran Conflict and Hormuz Supply Fears
Oil Prices Surge to Record Monthly Highs as Middle East War Rattles Global Markets
Gold Prices Rebound in Asia Amid Iran War Ceasefire Hopes
Trump Threatens Escalation Against Iran, Warns of Infrastructure Strikes
Canada's Economy Grows Modestly in January 2025, Driven by Energy and Construction
South Korea Manufacturing PMI Hits 4-Year High in March 2025 Driven by Semiconductor Demand




