Bank of Thailand's December economic report stated that the economy grew at a moderate pace on the back of domestic demand, amid weakness in the rural economy.
The agriculture income remained subdued; however, it grew marginally as harvesting took place during December. Further poor weather conditions and low prices weigh on the growth in the agriculture sector.
Improved manufacturing activity and a gradual increase in the tourism sector benefited the domestic activity growth. Manufacturing activity is likely to support economy's growth as it is expected to rise 2.8% q/q sa in the fourth quarter of 2015. Tourism also grew moderately as it posted a gain of 3.2% m/m sa in December.
Private consumption rose 0.7% m/m sa in December, as local spending grew with dropping oil prices and strong demand for durables. Thailand's external position is likely to remain strong as December's current account surplus amounted to 4.9 billion USD, which increased the full year's surplus to 34.8 billion USD. However, the overall BoP surplus amounted to 5.9billion USD.
"Against the backdrop of a gradual improvement in growth and persistently low inflation, we expect the Bank of Thailand to keep monetary conditions accommodative", said Barclays in a research note. "We believe the BoT is likely to keep rates unchanged through 2016, with a bias for a weaker exchange rate, if the THB appreciates materially, we do not rule out the possibility of rate cuts aimed at weakening the baht"


U.S. Urges Japan on Monetary Policy as Yen Volatility Raises Market Concerns
Bank of Japan Likely to Delay Rate Hike Until July as Economists Eye 1% by September
ECB Signals Steady Interest Rates as Fed Risks Loom Over Outlook
Bank of England Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 3.75% as Inflation Remains Elevated
New York Fed President John Williams Signals Rate Hold as Economy Seen Strong in 2026
RBA Expected to Raise Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points in February, ANZ Forecast Says
China Holds Loan Prime Rates Steady in January as Market Expectations Align
Fed Confirms Rate Meeting Schedule Despite Severe Winter Storm in Washington D.C.




