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Australia’s Jobs Shock: A Softer Labour Market, but Full-Time Hiring Holds Up

Australia's September 2026 labour report shocked to the negative: unemployment climbed to 4.7% from 4.6% and employment dropped by 39,300 against expectations for a 20,000 increase. Part-time work dropped by 73,700, which was the main cause of the overall decline; full-time employment rose by 34,400 after declining in August.

The statistics suggest increasing laxity in the job market. Underemployment increased to 6.3% and unemployment reached its highest level since October 2021, therefore pushing up the overall underutilisation rate to 11.0%. Participation also decreased from 67.1% to 66.8%, therefore fewer people were actively looking for work, which helps to explain why the jobless rate increase may not reflect the full picture.

For the Reserve Bank of Australia, the report helps a more cautious, wait-and-see posture while officials evaluate inflation and relieves pressure to increase rates. Though the full-time employment rebound and reduced participation present a less dire underlying reality than the headline jobs decline indicates, the surprise is a negative indication for the Australian dollar and could dampen expectations for further tightening.

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