The Russian bonds declined, pushing the yield on 10-year bonds up six basis points to 9.27 pct, tracking weak crude oil prices on Tuesday. Moreover, Brent crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia's main export, was down 1.5 pct at $39.68 a barrel. Meanwhile, the Russian 10-year bonds yields rose 1.09% at 9.27% at 01:00 PM GMT
On the other hand, Russia’s GDP dynamics (seasonally adjusted) was flat in February 2016, as compared to 0.1% contraction in January, according to the monthly monitoring published by the Economic Development Ministry Tuesday.
Apart from this, the Bank of Russia’s unexpectedly hawkish turn at its last rate meeting and the slump in oil prices are casting a shadow on the Russia long-term debt. Morgan Stanley in its report said that if oil prices continue to weaken, the rate on 10-year notes will climb by 50 basis points.
Lastly, we foresee that the U.S. economy grew more than forecast in the fourth quarter may bring further headwinds for Russian assets in the near future.


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