The CBR announced that it stopped its 12-month FX repo auctions as of yesterday, 1 June. This move was to be expected, following the start of daily FX buying auctions by the CBR from 13 May, in order to reduce the appreciating pressure on the RUB.
The CBR will continue with shorter-maturity FX repos of up to 1-month and around USD 26bn of FX liquidity will remain in the market until the first 12M repo contracts being to mature in November. According to Commerzbank, the RUB to gradually recover towards the 52.00 mark again versus the USD by year-end on:
- 1) a slowly recovering macro story
- 2) relatively stable oil prices
- 3) a scenario of calming geo-politics


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