The US Federal Reserve has been extraordinarily transparent in its intention to lift interest rates at some point this year. It also has been extraordinarily cautious. Recent concerns about financial market volatility and global growth stayed the FOMC's hand in September only for it to almost immediately assure the market that it would raise rates this year in following communications.
However, the takeaway from all this from afar seems to be that the central bank of the world's largest economy is extremely cautious as to the impact of just a single 25bp rise in interest rates, in level terms raising them from all intents and purposes zero to slightly above zero. This all comes as US economic growth, although absent an inflationary pulse, appears quite solid. Nonetheless, a similar course of action will likely come from the RBA when it is its turn to raise rates. There is a strong case it will have to move even more cautiously than its US counterpart.
"We do not think the RBA will need to cut rates again this cycle unless there is a further external shock to the economy, most likely from China", says BofA Merrill Lynch.


ECB Signals Possible Interest Rate Move if Inflation Outlook Fails to Improve
Kevin Warsh Advances Toward Fed Chair Role Amid Political Tensions
RBA Raises Interest Rates to 4.35% Amid Rising Inflation Risks and Middle East Tensions
South Korea Central Bank Signals Inflation Concerns as Oil Prices Surge
BOJ Rate Decision in Focus as Yen, Inflation, and Nikkei Hang in Balance
DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects
Bank of Japan's Ueda Flags Low Real Interest Rates as Key Factor in Rate Hike Timing 



