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PBoC’s intervention unlikely persists for long

PBoC set USD-CNY fixing rate at 6.4085 this morning, compared with the previous closing rate of 6.4105. Notably, the trading volume of USD-CNY yesterday was USD49bn, the highest since the "one-off" devaluation. It was USD37bn on Tuesday. Comparably, the average daily trading volume in the first half of this year was approximately USD15bn. 

The extremely large trading volume in onshore market suggests that the central bank intervened intensively to prevent sharp depreciation of CNY. Onshore liquidity conditions also tightened due to PBoC's intervention. To ease the liquidity tightness, the central bank conducted CNY140bn six-day short-term liquidity operation yesterday and CNY150bn reverse repo operation this morning. However, the sustainability of the intervention is under suspection as China's foreign reserves should have dropped rapidly, and see further weakening bias in CNY exchange rate, said Commerzbank in a research note on Thursday. 

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