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NZD/USD trade idea

  • 'Bearish Bat' pattern formed on NZD/USD dailies.
     
  • The pair is extending downside from multi-week highs at 0.74 handle.
     
  • RBNZ spike quickly faded, pair slips below 0.73 handle.
     
  • RBNZ decided to cut cash rate by 25 bps to 1.75% as widely expected and left doors open for more easing in the future. 
     
  • RBNZ Governor Wheeler's comments on likely intervention weighed heavily on the prices.
     
  • Technical studies are bearish, 5-DMA is biased lower, along with Stochs and RSI.
     
  • Strong support is seen at 0.7214 (20-DMA). Violation there could see further downside.
     

Recommendation: Good to sell rallies around 0.7250/60, SL: 0.7315, TP: 0.7215/ 0.72/ 0.7180

Resistance

R1 - 0.73

R2 - 0.7315 (5-DMA)

R3 - 0.7390 (Trendline)

Support               

S1 - 0.7214 (20-DMA)

S2 - 0.72

S3 - 0.7180 (Nov 2 lows)
 

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