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FxWirePro: USD/CAD pauses decline, downside risk remains

  • The USD/CAD pair continued its decline on Thursday as the Canadian dollar gained strength as prices of oil rose for a third straight day, offsetting broader gains for the greenback.
     
  • U.S. crude prices were up 0.83 percent at $49.92 a barrel, supported by supply disruptions in Libya and lower output from other Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries exporters.
     
  • Canadian producer prices edged up 0.1 percent in February from January, which was less than the 0.3 percent increase analysts had expected. Still, the year-on-year gain picked up to 3.5 percent from 2.5 percent.
     
  • The ongoing weakness is set to continue for this pair as the resistance level at 1.3363 is likely to act as strong barrier to the bulls and bring a further decline towards lower levels in the short term.
     
  • The immediate support can be seen at 1.3258, break below this level will expose the pair to next support level at 1.3217.
     
  • Major resistance can be seen at 1.3363, break above this level will expose it towards 1.3408 levels.

    Resistance Levels

    R1: 1.3315 (38.2% Retracement level)

    R2: 1.3363 (50% Retracement level)        

    R3: 1.3408 (61.8% Retracement level)

    Support Levels

    S1: 1.3258 (23.6% Retracement level)    

    S2: 1.3217 (Jan 23rd lows)            

    S3: 1.3174 (Jan 6th lows)
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