The risk reversals with longer expiries are attractive to position for lower EURCHF with e.g. 1Y 25D risk reversals (see negative 2, tepid vols below historic average) As an alternative to EUR, being short the CHF against the JPY is attractive a relative bet - safe havens, but one of them safer, considering that Asian risks will likely be the focus this year.
In addition, valuations are at historic extremes (CHF too strong).
Vols and risk reversal: Based on order flow analysis, the low implied volatility is also experienced from last couple of days and would likely to perceive the lower side for next 2-3 months or so as shown in the nutshell.
While delta risk reversal indicates bearish hedging activities have been piling up and it would remain the same for 3-6 months or so. As a result ATM puts are priced in costlier.
Thus, short 2% OTM call and short one more -1.5% OTM put of the same maturity for net credit. The OTM strikes should be selected so as to meet out the above specified bands on both the sides. Select the strikes to match the above mentioned price bands.
The rationale is that the range bounded market is evidenced and the continuation is signaled by risk reversals, technicals and lower implied volatility at 5-7% in next 6 months to substantiate this reasoning, we recommend taking the advantage of these benefits through above option trading strategy.
This strategy derives limited returns with unlimited risk that is taken when the options trader thinks that the EURCHF would experience little volatility in the near term.


FxWirePro : EUR/NZD slips lower after soft US jobs report
FxWirePro: AUD/USD eases as investors await U.S. employment figures
FxWirePro: GBP/USD eases as dollar firms ahead of U.S. June non-farm payrolls report
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: USD/JPY advances as traders test Japan's intervention resolve
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
FxWirePro: USD/ZAR gains some ground, but downtrend remains
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD eases slightly, focus on near-term support
DAX & CAC40 Score Perfect 100: Extremely Bullish With Major Levels to Watch as FTSE100 Hits 80
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD slips after surprise U.S. employment data
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: GBP/USD rises as weak U.S. jobs data pressures dollar
AUDJPY Bears Poised: Sell Rallies at 111.55 for 108 Target with 112.20 Stop
FxWirePro: USD/JPY holds tight range ahead of key U.S. payrolls data
NZDJPY Bullish Above 93 as Yen Stumbles – Buy Signal Triggers at 93.50
AUDJPY Rebounds on Yen Weakness – Bullish Buy Setup Above 112 Targets 115




