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FxWirePro: Gold eyes Jackson Hole speeches for further direction, good to stay away

  • Gold failed to breakout above psychological level at $1300 and consolidating in narrow range between $1280 and $1293 for the past two trading session. The yellow metal is waiting for Jackson Hole speeches for hints of U.S dollar strength.  It is currently trading around $1285.
     
  • Fundamentally the downside will be limited due to ingoing political tensions between U.S and N.Korea.
     
  •  DXY is trading in narrow range between 94.15 and 93 for the past one week. It is struggling to close above 21- day EMA at 93.68 and any minor bullishness can be seen only above that level. Minor jump till 94.29 (23.6% fibo) can be seen.
     
  • U.S 10 year yield shows a minor recovery after hitting 7- week low at 2.16% and markets brace for Jackson hole for further movement.
     
  • Technically gold is facing major resistance around $1300 and any convincing break will confirm major trend reversal. Any break above will take the yellow metal till $1310/$1325.
     
  • Gold’s near term support is around $1277 (23.6% retracement of $1204 and $1300.66) and break below will drag the commodity down till $1274 (21- day EMA)/$1257 (100- day MA).The yellow metal should break below $1195 for major trend reversal. 

It is good to sell on rallies around $1288-$1290 with SL around $1300 for the TP of $1270/$1261.

 

 

 

 

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