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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour  chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $1855.26

 

Kijun-Sen- $1837.90

 

Gold trades flat after a major pullback of more than $50. It hit a high of $1865.39 and is currently trading at around $1860.47.

 

Hamas's attack on Israel has elevated Middle East geopolitical tension. Investors shifted their buying interest to safe-haven assets like gold after the Israel and Gaza war.

 

Major economic data for the week

 

Oct 11th, 2023, US PPI (12:30 pm GMT)

 

US dollar index-   Neutral. Minor support around 105.80/105. The near-term resistance is 106.50/107.50.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Nov increased to 84.30% from 71.80% a week ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield trades in a narrow ranger ahead of the US PPI. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -35.6% from -75%.

 

 Factors to watch for gold price action-

     

   Global stock market- Bearish (positive for gold)

 

  US dollar index - Mixed (neutral for gold)

 

  US10-year bond yield- Mixed (neutral for gold)

 

Technical:

 

The near–term support is around $1830, a break below targets of $1800/$1785/$1760. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $1870 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $1885/$1900.

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $1850-51 with SL around $1830 for TP of $1900.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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