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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4 Hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $1674.21

 

Kijun-Sen- $1649.42

 

Gold pared some of its gains made on Friday. The yellow metal surged more than $50 after mixed US Non-Farm payroll data. The economy added 267K jobs in Oct, unemployment rose to 3.7% from 3.5%.data.  Following the US NFP report, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate hike in Dec increased by 43.2% from 38.5% a day ago.

 

Markets eye US mid-term elections and CPI data for further direction.

 

 The US 10-year yield recovered after a minor sell-off to 4.125%. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -50 basis points from -67 bpbs.

 

Factors to watch for gold price action-

 

 Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)

 

US dollar index – Bearish (Positive for gold)

 

US10-year bond yield- Bullish (negative  for gold)

 

Technical:

 

The near–term support is around $1660, a break below targets of $1650/$1640/$1630. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $1685, the breach above will take it to the next level of $1700/$1740.Minor bullish continuation only if it breaks $1740.

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $1650-51 with SL around $1630 for TP of $1700/$1740.

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