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FxWirePro: Gold Daily Outlook

Major Support- $1445

 

Gold was trading highly volatile yesterday due to slight trade optimism and weak US economic data. The yellow metal showed a good dip till $1462 after Bloomberg reported that the US and China close to a deal. But US ADP employment data came at 67k much worse than expected 140K and ISM services PMI also missed analyst's estimate.US dollar index lost more than 40 pips yesterday and dipped till 97.48.

 

According to the FedWatch tool, the chance of keeping rates unchanged has increased to 97.8% from 94.1% and the probability of rate cut slightly declined to 2.2% from 5.9%.

 

The US 10- year bond yield trades slightly higher and jumped more than 5% from low of 1.694%. The spread between US 2and 10-year has widened slightly from 12.6 bps from 18.8 bps.

 

On the flip side, near-term support stands at $1456, violation below will drag the yellow metal down till $1445/$1430/$1413 possible.

 

The near-term resistance is at $1485, any indicative break above targets $1500/$1525.

 

It is good to buy on dips around $1467-68 with SL around $1460 for the TP of $1495.

 

 

 

 

 

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