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FxWirePro: GBP/USD rallies above 1.2540 but reversal is likely

  • GBP/USD rose on Thursday as growing concerns over the outcome of French presidential elections and sharp decline in US dollar helped the British pound.
     
  • Much of the move was due to a broad selloff in the U.S. dollar after overnight Federal Reserve policy meeting dampened expectations of an interest rate hike in March. 
     
  • The minutes of the Jan. 31-Feb. 1 discussion, showed the U.S. central bank voted to keep rates unchanged, also showed the depth of uncertainty at the Fed because of a lack of clarity on the new Trump administration's economic program.
     
  • Further upside for this pair is expected to be limited as strong resistance level at 1.2633 is set to limit upside and bring decline towards lower levels.
     
  • To the upside, immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2558, a break above this level would expose the cable to next resistance level at 1.2600 levels.
     
  • To the downside strong support can be seen at 1.2484, a break below at this level will open the door towards next level at 1.2425.

    Resistance Levels

    R1:  1.2558 (50 % Retracement level)

    R2: 1.2600 (Psychological levels)

    R3: 1.2633 (61.8 % Retracement level)

    Support Levels

    S1: 1.2484 (38.2 % Retracement level)                   

    S2: 1.2425 (Daily lows)

    S3: 1.2385 (23.6 % Retracement level)
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