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FxWirePro- EURUSD Daily Outlook

Ichimoku analysis (4-hour chart)

 

 Tenken-Sen- 1.10731

 

 Kijun-Sen- 1.10079

 

EURUSD surged more than 150 pips after hitting a low of 1.10034 on weak US inflation.  US CPI declined to 3% YoY in June, compared to a forecast of 3%. On a monthly basis, inflation dropped to 0.2% vs. the forecast of 0.30%. It hits a high of  1.11582 and is currently trading around 1.11564.

 

Markets eye US PPI data for further direction.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate hike in July increased to 92.4% from 90.5% a week ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield pared most of its after dismal US CPI. The  US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -85% from -110%.

 

The pair trades above short-term 21 EMA,  55 EMA, and long-term (200-EMA) in the 4-hour chart.  Any indicative break above 1.1180  confirms intraday bullishness; a jump to 1.1225/1.13000 is possible. The near-term support is around 1.1100. The breach below targets 1.1050/1.1000.

 

   Indicator (4-hour chart)

   CCI – Bullish

 

  Directional movement index – Bullish

 

It is good to buy on dip around 1.1125-28 with SL around 1.070 for a TP of 1.1250.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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