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Ichimoku analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- 1.09271
Kijun-Sen- 1.08807
EURUSD showed a minor sell-off despite German Industrial production. It rose by 2% in Feb, slightly above the estimate of 0.10%. It hits an intraday high of 1.09171 and is currently trading around 1.08999.
US private sector has added 145000 jobs in Mar, compared to a forecast of 208000. US ISM services slowed to 51.20 in Mar, below the estimate of 54.30.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate hike in May increased to 44.8% from 44.2% a day ago.
The US 10-year yield falls to 3.26%, the lowest level since Sep 12 2022 due to weak US economic data. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -56% from -108%.
The pair trades above short-term 21 EMA, 55 EMA, and long-term (200-EMA) in the 4-hour chart. Any indicative break above 1.0980 confirms intraday bullishness, a jump to 1.100/1.1035 is possible. The near-term support is around 1.0870. The breach below targets 1.0830/1.0780.
Indicator (4-hour chart)
CCI – Neutral
Directional movement index – neutral
It is good to buy on dips around 1.0915 with SL around 1.0870 for a TP of 1.100.
