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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY hovers around 134 handle, recovery capped at 5-DMA at 134.14

  • EUR/JPY fails to break below major trendline support at 133, bounces-off to hit 134.15 on the day.
  • Recovery attempts in the pair however, were capped at downward slopping 5-DMA at 134.14.
  • Any further upside will be seen only on decisive break above. Scope then for test of 20-DMA at 134.47.
  • Technical studies on weekly charts are turning bearish. RSI and Stochs are on verge of rollover from overbought levels.
  • Breach at 133 support raises scope for further downside. Bears will then target 131.20 (38.2% Fib retrace of 122.40 to 136.63 rally).
  • We expect a bearish invalidation on breakout at 20-DMA at 134.47.

Support levels - 133.38 (50-DMA), 133 (trendline), 132.90 (20W SMA), 132.05 (Dec 15 low)

Resistance levels - 134, 134.14 (5-DMA), 134.34 (5W SMA), 134.47 (20-DMA), 135

Recommendation: Watch out for break below 133 for further weakness.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at 20.7866 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 145.755 (Bullish) at 0600 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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