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FxWirePro: EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Chart - Courtesy Trading View 

Spot Analysis:

EUR/GBP was trading 0.12% lower on the day at 0.8693 at around 11:20 GMT.

Previous Week's High/ Low: 0.8866/ 0.8608

Previous Session's High/ Low: 0.8731/ 0.8633

Fundamental Overview:

The British pound weakens on a hotter UK inflation release. The UK CPI data puts the BOE in a tough spot following the government's fiscal and political fiasco. 

Data released by the UK Statistics showed the headline Consumer Price Index   (CPI) refreshes a 30-year high with a 10.1% YoY figure versus 10.0% expected and 9.9% prior.

That said, looming recession risks might force the Bank of England to adopt a gradual approach towards raising interest rates.

Further, UK political uncertainty is seen as another key factor undermining the British pound, which, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the pair. 

Technical Analysis:

- Price action capped below 21-EMA

- The pair has bounced off daily cloud and 110-EMA

- Stochs are on verge of rollover from oversold levels

- GMMA indicator shows major trend is neutral, while minor trend is turning bullish

Major Support and Resistance Levels:

Support - 0.8665 (55-EMA), 0.8595 (110-EMA)

Resistance - 0.8726 (21-EMA), 0.8774 (20-DMA)

Summary: EUR/GBP rangebound between 21 and 55 EMA. Break out on either side will show clear direction. 
 

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