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FxWirePro: EUR/CHF struggles at 1.14 handle, focus on Italian bond yields for direction

Refer EUR/CHF chart on Trading View

  • EUR/CHF has retraced from session highs at 1.1405 and is currently trading at 1.1388 at the time of writing.
     
  • The pair is extending higher for the 4th straight session and eyes immediate resistance at 23.6% Fib at 1.1423.
     
  • Euro edged higher after the US dollar dropped overnight in response to a drop in the UST yields on concern regarding Fed’s policy tightening after Trump's criticism.
     
  • The single currency may not be able to extend gains if the Italian bond yields rise on fiscal concerns. 
     
  • Moody's on Monday postponed a possible downgrade of Italy as it extended the period that it has Italy on negative watch.
     
  • Technical indicators are neutral to slightly bullish. Stochs have rolled over from oversold levels and 5-DMA has turned.
     
  • Break above 23.6% Fib will see upside till 21-EMA at 1.1448. Drag till trendline support at 1.1235 possible on break below 5-DMA.

Support levels - 1.1354 (5-DMA), 1.13, 1.1235 (trendline)

Resistance levels - 1.1423 (23.6% Fib), 1.1448 (21-EMA)

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at 81.226 (Bullish), while Hourly CHF Spot Index was at -97.524 (Bearish) at 0645 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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