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FxWirePro: AUD/JPY struggles at 20-DMA, further upside only on break above

  • AUD/JPY remains capped below 20-DMA currently at 83.56. Upside likely on break above.
     
  • Aussie subdued on the day after Moody’s downgraded China’s long-term local currency and foreign currency issuer ratings to A1 from Aa3 and changed the outlook to Stable from Negative.
     
  • Also data today showed pace of construction work done in Australia during the March quarter of 2017 shrank and came in sharply below expectations.
     
  • The pair finds strong support at 82.71 (200-DMA) and then 82.55 (trendline).
     
  • Close below trendline support will see drag lower. Scope then for test of 81.53 (April 20 low) and then 80.30 (50% Fib of 72.43 to 88.17 rise).

Support levels - 83.16 (5-DMA), 83, 82.71 (200-DMA), 82.55 (trendline)

Resistance levels - 83.56 (20-DMA), 84.03 (38.2% Fibo 88.148 to 81.486 fall), 84.50 (May 15 high)

Recommendation: Wait for clear directional bias.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -92.7763 (Bullish), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at -50.778 (Neutral) at 0540 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

 

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