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FxWirePro: AUD/JPY slips below 21-EMA, on track for further weakness

AUD/JPY chart - Trading View 

  • AUD/JPY trades 0.81% lower on the day at 78.60 at 0540 GMT, bias bearish.

     
  • Aussie dented on poor data and dovish comments from RBA Governor Philip Lowe, while risk aversion in the stock markets keeps safe-haven bids for the Japanese yen intact.

     
  • Data released earlier today showed Australia Q4 GDP missed estimates of 0.3% growth and expanded at 0.2% q/q.

     
  • The annualized growth rate cooled to 2.3% from the previous quarter's print of 2.8%. 

     
  • Further, RBA's Lowe said it is difficult to see rates will rise in 2019, further fueling downside.

     
  • Markets focus on Thursday’s Australian trade balance and retail sales data for further impetus.

     
  • Technical studies have turned bearish. Price was rejected at 110-EMA. 

     
  • The pair has slipped below 21-EMA and is on track to test daily cloud. Bearish invalidation above 110-EMA.
     

Support levels - 77.76 (Jan 17 low), 77.44 (Feb 8 low), 77.23 (cloud top)

Resistance levels - 78.93 (21-EMA), 79.06 (5-DMA), 79.69 (110-EMA)

Recommendation: Good to go short on upticks, SL: 79, TP: 78/ 77.75/ 77.25

For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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