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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD recovery capped at 20-DMA, bias lower

  • Aussie under pressure, despite risk-on rally in the Asian equities, as the entire base metals complex remains subdued.
     
  • AUD/CAD's feeble recovery attempt capped around 20-DMA at 1.0194.
     
  • The pair is trading largely unchanged on the day at the time of writing. 
     
  • Bearish bias intact after break below major trendline support at 1.0225.
     
  • The pair is currently holding 23.6% Fib support at 1.0176, weakness likely on break below.
     
  • Technical studies point to further downside, next major support seen at 1.0070 (50-DMA).
     
  • We see a bearish invalidation only on close above 5-DMA at 1.0237.

Support levels - 1.0170 (23.6% Fib), 1.0103 (March 3 low), 1.0070 (38.2% Fib)

Resistance levels - 1.0194 (20-DMA), 1.0236 (5-DMA and trendline), 1.03, 1.0333 (Mar 20 high)

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-CAD-breaks-major-trendline-support-at-10225-good-to-short-rallies-605391) has hit TP1.

Recommendation: Book partial profits, stay short.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -118.754(Highly Bearish), while Hourly CAD Spot Index was at 33.9033 (Neutral) at 0650 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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