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EUR/HUF likely to rise to 315.00 by Q3 2018: Commerzbank

The Hungarian forint is expected to rise to a level of 315.00 against the euro by the third quarter of this year, according to a recent research report from Commerzbank. Hungarian CPI data for January turned out to be supportive of MNB's ultra-dovish monetary policy stance.

The headline inflation reading was slightly above expectation at 2.1 percent y/y, but most underlying core inflation indicators were either unchanged at well-below inflation target, or were slightly softer in January: core inflation softened from 2.6 percent in December to 2.5 percent in January; tax-adjusted core inflation was unchanged at 2.2 percent and ‘demand-sensitive inflation’ softened from 1.8 percent to 1.7 percent.

What is crucial in all this is that after longer than a year of solid economic growth and falling unemployment, core inflation is not only stuck below inflation target, it is once more moderating.

"We think that MNB will probably even step up its unconventional monetary easing in coming quarters," the report added.

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June 22 14:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Annualized

Actual

3.1 %

Forecast

Previous

2.7 %

June 22 14:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Index

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150.1 %

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Previous

149.3 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 206061206061m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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2016 bln ARS

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January 31 00:00 UTC 206061206061m

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 217881217881m

ARTrade Balance

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 206061206061m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 217881217881m

ARTrade Balance

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 206061206061m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 206061206061m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 206061206061m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

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