According to latest data released today by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), property prices in China edged up by 2.5% in January, from a year ago. This is highest reading since August 2014 and fourth consecutive positive reading.
Back in 2013, China's house price were rising sharply and in January, nationwide house prices were up 9.9% from a year ago. However, as supply outpaced demand that boom turned into bust and throughout 2014, price growth dropped and finally to negative territory by October 2014. Moreover about the same time, China's stock market was booming and lot of money was chasing stocks instead of housing. Similar trend reversed when stock market went bust last summer and house price also started to recover. By May last year, yearly price deflation bottomed in May and by November, prices were rising again on yearly basis.
However, unlike the good old days, prices rises are mainly due to sharp rise in house prices in Tier 1 cities and somewhat in Tier 2 cities. Prices are still in decline in Tier3 and Tier 4 cities.
- In Shenzhen price rose by 52% y/y, 18% y/y in Shanghai and in Beijing prices rose by 10% y/y. But country wise data, not so cheerful though. 45 of the 70 cities surveyed, reported price drop. Worst hit is Zhanjiang, where price dropped by almost 5% from a year back.
We expect, People's Bank of China (PBoC) and government to keep providing support to housing sector, so this recovery trend is likely to continue but that doesn't put China in a better place with highly levered housing sector.
China's benchmark stock index is up 0.3% for the day, trading at 2750.


Oil Prices Rebound Slightly After Sharp Drop on Iran Deal Hopes
Japan Tech Stocks Surge as AI Optimism Lifts SoftBank, Chipmakers
Gold Prices Hold Firm as Iran Tensions and Dollar Swings Drive Safe-Haven Demand
China EV Truck Boom Accelerates as Iran War Drives Diesel Prices Higher
Choices made nearly a century ago explain today’s housing crisis
S&P 500, Nasdaq Hit Record Highs as AI Stocks Rally and Strong Jobs Data Boost Confidence
Trump Signals Possible U.S.-Iran Peace Deal as Markets Rally on Hopes of War Ending
Asian Stocks Slide as Iran Tensions Escalate Despite Strong Weekly Gains
Our housing system is broken and the poorest Australians are being hardest hit
영국 대형 투자자들, 미국 부동산 가격 하락 시 매수 준비
UBS "이 미국 도시, 부동산 거품 위험 가장 높아"




