Despite lower direct economic linkages, the change in China's exchange rate and growth risks are expected to also weaken European currencies versus the USD.
A combination of slower global growth, lower energy and imported goods prices, and still poorly anchored inflation expectations may force the ECB to extend the QE program beyond September 2016.
"EUR/USD is seen trading at 0.98 by year-end, and toward 0.93 by end H1 16. Combined with all other forecasts, we see the EUR REER weakening another 10%. The EUR is only currently 6.7% cheap to fair at the moment (1 standard deviation). Based on this view, we continue to recommend being short EUR/USD and long USD/CHF", says Barclays.