After a brief pause through mid-September, the uptrend in USD/CAD resumed as the pair moved to a new cyclical high. The catalysts for USD/CAD strength to remain in place through year-end.
Benefits from a weaker currency are expected to become more pronounced for Canada's exports and non-energy capital investment, causing US and Canadian monetary policy to start to converge amidst a firmer domestic growth profile.
"An expected recovery in oil, with the expectation of energy price of an average USD62 for the year, a gradual pullback in USD/CAD in 2016 is anticipated, ending the year at 1.3000", says RBC Capital Markets.