EM Asian currencies likely to prop up as U.S. and China remain on track to reach a partial trade deal, says Scotiabank
Fed’s dovish stance and balance sheet re-expansion likely to weigh on dollar in months ahead, says Scotiabank
BI likely to lower policy rate by 25bp to support growth amid increasingly fragile global economy, says Scotiabank
U.K. headline inflation remains unchanged at 1.7 pct in September, likely to stay below 2 pct in near-term
China likely to maintain full year growth at 6.0 pct in 2019, unless GDP growth falls below 5.5 pct y/y in Q4, says ANZ Research
German bunds narrowly mixed after October ZEW economic sentiment improves, eurozone September CPI eyed
Australian ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence plunges to lowest level in over two years
Australia’s ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence plunged 3.5 percent last week to its lowest level in over two years. ‘Time to buy a household item’ was the only sub-index in the positive, eking out a 0.2 percent gain.
The financial conditions subcomponents dropped sharply. Current finances were down 4.6 percent, the third consecutive weekly decline, while future finances were down 4.8 percent.
The economic conditions sub-indices were also down, with current economic conditions losing 0.6 percent and future economic conditions falling by a sharp 7.6 percent, bringing it to a two-year low.
The four-week moving average for inflation expectations increased by 0.1ppt to 4.1 percent, despite a small decline in the weekly reading.
"ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence fell to two year low last week. While households feel okay about their current financial situation, they are clearly quite worried about the outlook, for both their own finances and the economy. Last week’s reported fall in business conditions to a five-year low, the weekend attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil and ongoing broader concerns about both the domestic and global economic outlook are now clearly weighing on consumer sentiment. This is a disappointing development and suggests that expectations for tax and interest rate cuts to spur the consumer to lift the economy may be misplaced," said Felicity Emmett, ANZ Senior Economist.