Market Roundup
•Dow up 1.19%, S&P 500 up 1.53%, Nasdaq up 2.11%
•Focus on U.S. inflation data next week
•Fed's Waller: need aggressive rate hikes now while economy can take it
•Putin threatens to cut off all energy supplies
•Oil benchmarks heading for second weekly decline
•Canada Aug Employment Change -39.7K,15.0K forecast, -30.6K previous
•Canada Aug Unemployment Rate 5.4%, 5.0% forecast, 4.9% previous
•Canada Aug Capacity Utilization Rate (Q2) 83.8%, 82.0% previous
•Canada Aug Participation Rate 64.8%, 64.7% previous
•Canada Aug Full Employment Change -77.2K, -13.1K previous
•Canada Aug Part Time Employment Change 37.5K, -17.5K previous
• US Jul Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) -1.4% , 1.4% forecast, 1.8% previous
• US Wholesale Inventories (MoM) 0.6%, 0.8% forecast, 1.8% previous
• U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 591, 596 previous
•US U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 759, 760 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•No data ahead
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
•No significant events
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro rose back above parity to a three-week high against the dollar on Friday following a large rate hike and hawkish comments from the European Central Bank. The euro was plotting 1.2% gains for the week after the ECB raised rates by a record 75 basis points on Thursday and signalled further hikes to fight inflation, even as the bloc's economy eyed a winter recession. Europe still faces a weak economic outlook, with sky-high energy prices squeezing consumers and businesses. European Union energy ministers were split on Friday over whether to cap Russian gas prices, as they met to work out steps to shield citizens. The euro rose 0.50% to $1.0044 , slightly below earlier highs, but off two-decade lows of $0.9864 hit earlier this week .Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0093(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0153(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9976(9DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9892(23.6%fib).
GBP/USD: Sterling jumped against the dollar on Friday, as most majors fought back against the greenback’s recent strength, capping a volatile week in which the pound hit a 35-year low, Britain saw a new prime minister, and Queen Elizabeth passed away. Britain’s new Prime Minister Liz Truss contributed to the broader narrative of action from European governments on Thursday, announcing a plan to consumer energy bills for two years and funnel billions to prop up power companies. Investors are still waiting to see specific details of how the plan will be financed, as well as seeing how Truss and her new government will handle a very difficult situation with surging inflation and a slowing economy. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1688(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1754(21DMA).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1480(23.6%fib),a break below could take the pair towards 1.1398(Sep 7th low).
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar climbed to a 10-day high against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as the greenback gave back some of its recent gains, but the loonie's advance was capped by weaker-than-expected domestic employment data. Canada's economy shed 39,700 jobs in August, which was the third straight month of declines and missed analyst estimates for an increase of 15,000. After the jobs data, money markets dialed back the amount of additional tightening expected from the Bank of Canada by the end of the year to 49 basis points from 58 basis points. The loonie was trading 0.5% higher at 1.3030 to the greenback , after touching its strongest since Aug. 30 at 1.2983. The price of oil , one of Canada's major exports, settled 3.9% higher at $86.79 a barrel. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3098(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3158(Sep 8th high).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3015 (21 DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2977 (38.2%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar declined against yen on Friday as investors consolidated gains after a sharp rise against most currencies, ahead of a U.S. inflation report that could determine the size of the Federal Reserve's rate hike at this month's policy meeting. U.S. rate futures are pricing in an 87% chance of the Fed hiking by 75 bps hike this month, with fresh U.S. consumer price data next week likely to be closely watched. The greenback this week soared to a 24-year high against the yen, a 37-year peak versus sterling, wit the dollar index surging to a more than 20-year high.On Friday, the dollar index dropped as low as 108.35 and was last down 0.5% at 108.96 Strong resistance can be seen at 142.92(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 144.67(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 141.48(50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 141.00(psychological level).
Equities Recap
European stocks closed on a strong note on Friday despite concerns about slowing global growth and a massive interest rate hike by the European Central Bank.
The UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 1.23 percent, Germany's Dax ended up by 1.43 percent, and France’s CAC finished up by 1.43 percent.
U.S. stocks rallied on Friday, with the major indexes recording their first weekly gain in four weeks as investors went on a buying spree, shrugging off concerns about the economic outlook.
Dow Jones closed up by 1.19 percent, S&P 500 closed up 1.53 percent, Nasdaq ended up by 2.11 percent.
Treasuries Recap Interest-rate sensitive two-year Treasury yields hit more than 14-year highs on Friday and the yield curve inverted further as Federal Reserve officials stressed the need for more rate hikes to stem soaring nflation.
Benchmark 10-year note yields were last 3.321%. They have risen from a four-month low of 2.516% on Aug. 2 but are holding below the 11-year high of 3.498% reached on June 14
Commodities Recap
Gold rose on Friday as the dollar’s retreat temporarily seemed to stave off some pressure on the precious metal from prospects of more interest rate hikes.
Spot gold rose 0.5% to $1,716.30 per ounce by 1:55 p.m. ET (1755 GMT), after rising to its highest since Aug. 30 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures settled 0.5% higher at $1,728.6.
Oil prices rose about 4% on Friday, supported by real and threatened cuts to supply, although futures posted a second weekly decline as aggressive interest rate hikes and China's COVID-19 curbs weighed on the demand outlook.
Brent crude rose $3.69, or 4.1%, to settle at $92.84 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $3.25, or 3.9% to settle at $86.79 a barrel.
