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US Mid-term Election Series: Republicans to win big in Senate; likely to keep majority in House of Representatives

FxWirePro is finally ready to roll out the predictions for the U.S. midterm and the calculations and research strongly suggests that the so-called Democratic ‘blue wave’ is about to hit a ‘red wall’ with Democrats losing a higher share of black and Latino votes.

The research is based on the detailed analysis of polling data, numerous online documents and videos, the reaction from voters etc. - the very same method that helped to predict then-candidate Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 election.

Throughout the mid-term campaign, what the Republicans were lacking was enthusiasm among likely voters but the latest poll indicate that the treatment of Brett Kavanagh at the hands of Democrats over his Supreme Court confirmation has energized the Republican base.  The energy among Republican voters is eroding the Democrats’ energy advantage.

Another indicator of the looming 2018 upset for the Democrats is the media coverage. The media coverage is increasingly looking like the same at 2016 cycle, where political pundits were predicting a landslide for the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. The very same pundits are now forecasting a democratic landslide and exact to the same extent. Back in 2016, political Pundits were projecting that Trump and supporters would cause havoc if they fail to win the election and will take steps to delegitimize the outcome but it turned out that the Democrats lost and they resort to every way possible to disrupt the outcome of the election. And the same pundits are now suggesting that President Trump would work to disqualify the Mid-term election outcome as it would be against his party.

Our forecast:

Our calculations suggest that the Republicans would secure a massive win in the Senate and will end up with 55-57 seats. The battle is tougher for the House as many Republicans would defend their seats in districts won by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. We forecast the Republicans would retain the control of the House but their majority would be thinner and once again the pollsters would be proven wrong.

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