Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
Russian Stocks End Mixed as MOEX Index Closes Flat Amid Commodity Strength 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility 
Trump Endorses Japan’s Sanae Takaichi Ahead of Crucial Election Amid Market and China Tensions 
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
Thailand Inflation Remains Negative for 10th Straight Month in January 
South Africa Eyes ECB Repo Lines as Inflation Eases and Rate Cuts Loom 
Singapore Budget 2026 Set for Fiscal Prudence as Growth Remains Resilient 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Jumps as Exports Surge and China Imports Hit Record 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran 
U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Tech Rout Deepens on Amazon Capex Shock 
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off 
U.S. September Inflation Data in Focus
Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release is expected to show that inflation moderated at the end of Q3, following a stronger-than-expected jobs report last week. This data will be crucial for understanding how the Federal Reserve approaches rate cuts in the coming months. A tamer Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday would further support the case for controlled inflation, reinforcing the Fed’s target of 2%.
According to UBS analysts, the CPI report is pivotal: “If prices rise faster than expected, alongside strong labor data, the likelihood of the Fed skipping a November rate cut increases.” The Fed’s September meeting minutes, to be released on Wednesday will provide insights into the central bank’s decision-making and its outlook on future rate adjustments.
U.S. Earnings Season Kicks Off
Q3 earnings season is beginning, with major financial firms such as JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and BlackRock reporting on Friday. These results will offer a vital view into the economy’s health, including loan demand and consumer spending. Investors will also watch for signs that the recent Fed rate cut stimulates economic activity, such as auto sales or other major purchases. Additionally, results from companies like PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines will provide further context on consumer demand and market resilience.
Oil Price Volatility Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Oil prices experienced a sharp rise last week, with Brent crude gaining 8% and WTI rising 9.1%, mainly due to escalating tensions in the Middle East. However, U.S. President Joe Biden's discouragement of Israeli action on Iranian oil facilities helped contain price spikes. Iran, a key OPEC+ member, produces around 3.2 million barrels per day. Any disruption to its supply could significantly impact global oil markets, despite OPEC+'s spare production capacity.
Central Bank Outlook: RBNZ and RBA
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday, with speculation of a rate cut following the Fed's example. This decision could indicate a shift in global monetary policies to stimulate economic growth. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia will publish its September meeting minutes on Tuesday, providing insights on its hawkish hold and the domestic economy.
