PPI Surprise: Wholesale Inflation Stalls, Easing Fed Pressure

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for June 2025 remained constant at 0 0%, going against forecasts of a 0. 2% monthly rise; the 12-month PPI increased by 2. 3%. Core PPI, not counting meals, energy, and trade, rose 2. 5% year-over-year and also held steady for the month. These data indicate that wholesale inflation momentum is slowing as the annual PPI dropped from 2. 7% in May.

June saw a 0. 3% rise in product pricing, mostly driven by communication equipment, gasoline, and electrical power; energy and food prices went up 0. 6% and 0. 2%, respectively. On the other hand, services fell 0. 1% with significant decreases in automotive retail, airline passenger services, and travel accommodations, while portfolio management fees rose.

The stability in PPI that came as a surprise despite import taxes was explained by the equilibrium between growing item prices and reduced activity in the service sector. The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on these inflation numbers, but the latest report indicates little immediate pressure for a change in interest rates, as experts pointed out that a deceleration in services offset inflationary pressures in goods.