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Japan's manufacturing activity contracted for the seventh consecutive month in January, according to preliminary au Jibun Bank data, as the purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 48.8 from December’s 49.6. The reading, below the forecasted 49.7, marks the largest contraction in 10 months, with levels below 50 indicating shrinking activity.
Production levels declined at the fastest rate since last April, while new orders fell at the quickest pace in six months. Economist Usamah Bhatti from S&P Global Market Intelligence noted, "Manufacturing new orders fell at the most marked rate since last July, and outstanding business reduced for the second successive month." Falling backlogs in both manufacturing and services suggest the current uplift in activity is driven by completing existing orders rather than new growth.
While the manufacturing sector struggled, Japan's services PMI surged to 52.7 in January, up from 50.9 in December, signaling robust expansion. Increased new business drove the growth, with service providers boosting employment levels to meet rising demand. Confidence levels in the services sector remained consistent with those seen at the end of 2024.
The composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services activity, improved to 51.1 in January from 50.5 in December, reflecting the services sector's positive performance.
The data highlight contrasting trends in Japan's economy, with manufacturing facing headwinds while services benefit from rising demand. These figures will likely shape market expectations for Japan’s economic trajectory in the months ahead.
