FxWirePro: USD/JPY struggles at the 101 handle, upside lacks momentum
Thursday, July 7, 2016 5:06 AM UTC
- Yen retraced a part of early gains after Japanese stocks pares losses, USD/JPY attempts to retake the 101 handle.
- But upside in the pair lacks momentum, USD/JPY struggles at the 101 handle. Pair largely ignores upbeat US data.
- US ISM non-manufacturing index came in stronger than it has been since November 2016, and is a big bounce from the 52.9 reading in May.
- Focus now on key US employment data due for release today and tomorrow. A decent rebound in payrolls may be enough to prevent a move lower this week.
- Intraday bias is lower, RSI, Stochastics on daily charts point south and MACD is well below the zero mark.
- Technically, we see scope for break below channel base which could drag the pair to next support at 99.57.
- However, how much yen appreciation the BoJ will tolerate is keeping markets wary.
- Support is seen at 100.53 (channel base) ahead of 100.18 (lower Bollinger Band) and then 100 levels.
- Resistance on the upside seen at 101, 101.76 (July 6th highs) and then 102 levels.