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• USD/JPY traded flat on Friday as investors stayed cautious ahead of the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
• Investors are closely watching the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index later today, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation.
• The data will be scrutinized for signals on price pressures and consumer spending trends, which could provide clearer guidance on the Fed’s future interest rate decisions and the broader monetary policy outlook.
• Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Thursday reinforced his call for lower short-term borrowing costs, stating he would back a rate cut next month and support further reductions over the following three to six months.
• According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in an 86% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next month.
• Immediate resistance is located at 147.61(SMA 20), any close above will push the pair towards 148.56(38.2%fib).
• Support is seen at 146.66(50%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 145.43(Lower BB.
Recommendation: Good to buy around 147.00, with stop loss of 146.50 and target price of 148.20
