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FxWirePro: USD/JPY extends weakness for 3rd straight session, eyes 50-DMA at 111.53, stay short

USD/JPY chart on Trading View used for analysis

  • USD/JPY trades in the red for the 3rd consecutive session, bias lower.
     
  • S&P 500 futures have dropped well below the key support of the 50-week EMA, emboldening the bears.
     
  • The pair has retraced dip below 112 handle and is currently trading at 112.15 after hitting session lows at 111.82.
     
  • The combination of market risk in equities, political risk in Europe (Brexit and Italy)  and economic risk around the globe will keep safe havens in demand.
     
  • Focus now on the forthcoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy meeting scheduled for October 31.
     
  • Also, U.S. Q3 GDP data due later this week will be watched for clues on further direction.
     
  • Price has broken below 23.6% Fib. We see scope for test of 50-DMA at 111.53 ahead of daily cloud. Violation at daily cloud will see further bearishness. 
     
  • On the upside, 20-DMA is major resistance. We see bearish invalidation on break above.

Support levels - 112 (major trendline support), 111.53 (50-DMA) 

Resistance levels - 112.20 (23.6% Fib), 112.85 (20-DMA), 113.17 (July 19 high)

Recommendation: Good to stay short on upticks, SL: 112.90, TP: 111.55/ 111

For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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