FxWirePro: NZD/CAD breaks below 88.6% Fib, further downside on cards, stay short

Refer NZD/CAD chart on Trading View

• NZD/CAD has broken support at 88.6% Fib at 0.8741, opening up further downside for the pair.
   
• Kiwi slumps across the board after RBNZ's unexpected dovish forward guidance.
   
• The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept interest rates unchanged as expected.
   
• However, it surprised markets by revising lower the Sept 2019 interest rate forecast to 1.8 percent from the previous 1.9 percent.
   
• Further, RBNZ governor Orr said the central bank expects the interest rates to stay at the current level of 1.75 percent through 2019 and into 2020.
   
• Adding to the bearish pressure around the kiwi was the escalating US-China trade tensions.
   
• Technical studies support further weakness in the pair. Breach of 'Symmetric Triangle' pattern adds to bearish bias.
   
• Recovery was rejected at 78.6% Fib on Wednesday's trade. Price slips below 5-DMA.
   
• Next major support lies 0.8641 (Nov 17 low).  On the flipside, break into 'Symmetric Triangle' pattern to see upside. 

Support levels - 0.8641 (Nov 17 low), 0.8610 (Apr 2016 low), 0.8584 (Nov 2015 low)

Resistance levels - 0.8741 (88.6% Fib), 0.8754 (5-DMA), 0.88

Recommendation: Good to stay short on upticks around 0.8690/0.87, SL: 0.8760, TP: 0.8640/ 0.8610.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly USD Spot Index was at -32.9275 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 27.0931 (Neutral) at 0745 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.