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Major resistance- $1217
The major three factors that drive gold prices
US dollar Index: Slightly bullish. DXY has recovered sharply more than 150 pips from low of 93.84 in previous week.The index has broken major resistance at 94.68 (100- day MA) and jumped till 95.37. The next near term resistance is around 95.40 (50% fib) and any break above targets 95.75/ 96.25 (negative for gold).
USD/JPY: Trend extremely Bullish. The pair has broken major resistance 114 and jumped till 114.06 yesterday.It hits 11- month high and is currently trading around 113.90.Minor support is around 113.10 (7- day MA) and any break below targets 112.50/112. Short term trend is slightly bullish as long as support 112 holds . Any daily close below 112 confirms minor bearishness and a dip till 111/110.38 likely. Slightly positive for gold.
US 10 year yield : US 10 year yield has shown minor recovery of more than 2% from the low of 3.02% It is currently trading around 3.078%. Any break above 3.129% confirms further bullishness. Slightly negative for Gold.
US 2 year yield: It hits 10 year high at 2.835%.The spread between US 10 year and 2 year has increased from 22bpbs to 26bpbs.
Gold technical
Major support $1183
Major resistance - $1217
The yellow metal has lost more than $15 from the high of $1198 and it is currently trading around $1185. The trend is slightly bearish as long as resistance $1217 holds.
On the higher side, any break above $1210 will take the commodity till $1217/$1224/$1230.
The near term support is around $1180 and any violation below will drag the commodity down till $1170/$11620.
It is good to sell on rallies around $1195-1197 with SL around $1205 for the TP of $1181.
