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Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour chart)

Tenken-Sen- $1788

Kijun-Sen- $1794.50

Gold price showed a gap-down opening on US dollar strength. US dollar index breaks significant resistance at 105.78 and hits a 19-year high on recession fears. Markets eye US FOMC meeting minutes for further direction. According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 75 bpbs rate hike in Jul declined to 86.8% from 87.3% a week ago. It hits a low of $1764 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $1766.79.

Factors to watch for gold price action:

Global stock market- mixed (neutral for gold)

US dollar index – Bullish (negative for gold)

US10-year bond yield- Bearish (positive for gold)

Technical:
The near–term support is around $1750, a breach below targets $1700/$1650. Significant reversal only below $1750. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $1800, any breach above will take to the next level $1835/$1850/$1875.

It is good to sell on rallies around $1795-96 with SL around $1815 for TP of $1700.

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