EUR/GBP chart on Trading View used for analysis
- EUR/GBP recovery is capped below 0.87 handle, upside is unlikely to gather traction.
- ECB minutes on Thursday had a dovish tilt, acknowledging that near-term growth is likely to be weaker than expected.
- The central bank added that more data is still needed to assess more medium term impacts.
- Focus now on German data which includes GDP, Ifo business climate and eurozone inflation data.
- German GDP is expected to show the growth rate stalled in Q4. Disappointing data could add pressure on the single currency.
- The focus would shift to Draghi speech post-German data. The central bank head is likely to sound dovish, confirming a rate hike is unlikely to happen any time soon.
- Technical studies are bearish. Guppy's Multiple Moving Average setup shows that the major trend is bearish.
- Stochs and RSI show momentum is bearish and MACD is on verge of bearish crossover on signal line
Support levels - 0.8655 (Nov 13 low), 0.8620 (trendline)
Resistance levels - 0.8701 (5-DMA), 0.8746 (20-DMA)
Recommendation: Good to stay short on upticks around 0.87/0.8710, SL: 0.8755, TP: 0.8655/ 0.8620
For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.