EUR/AUD have been dramatically spiking higher at 12.59% for 1W expiries and 12.41% for 1M expiries.
Volatility smiles most frequently show that traders are willing to pay higher implied volatility prices as the strike price grows aggressively out of the money.
The current spot FX is trading at 1.5183, since we expect more dips extending up to 1.5103 levels in near terms, aggressive bears can initiate strategy using ATM puts.
But unlike a simple naked puts, backspreads have an extra long that has not only leveraging effects, a short option at a lower strike that caps your reward but also reduces the net cost of the trade.
So, the recommendation for now is to go long in 2 lots of 1M At-The-Money Vega puts that would function effectively in higher IV times.
And on the other hands, short 1 lot of 1W (1%) ITM put option that would generate assured returns on any abrupt rallies, even if it drifts sideways the premiums will wipe off on time decay.
The Vega would be at its maximum when the option is at ATM and declines exponentially as the option moves ITM or OTM owing to every tiny shift in IVs that will make no difference on the likelihood of an option far out-of-the-money expiring ITM or on the likelihood of an option far into-the-money not expiring ITM.
EURAUD ATM options would be far more sensitive since higher IV greatly increases their chances of expiring ITM which is why we prefer ATM strikes to adding more weights in longs of this strategy.


Nikkei Blasts Past 67K: AI Chip Frenzy Ignites 9% Surge From Yen Intervention Bottom
FxWirePro:NZD/USD drifts lower, could be on verge of bigger drop
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD risks tilt further to the downside
FxWirePro : USD/JPY holds near 160 as yen remains under pressure
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD dips as Aussie gains after RBA decision
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
NZDJPY Bullish at 365-EMA Support: Buy Dips Toward 95 Target
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro:' USD/CAD faces downside risk below 1.4000
FxWirePro: USD/ZAR edges higher after weak SA jobs and manufacturing data
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: GBP/USD trades sideways as markets await U.S. inflation and UK GDP data
GBPJPY Consolidates Above 215 on Bullish Momentum: Buy Dips Toward 217
FxWirePro: USD/CNY hovers near 3-1/2-year low ahead of U.S. data
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
FxWirePro: NZD/USD drifts lower as markets await US inflation data
FxWirePro:EUR/NZD gains slightly as ranges remain tight ahead U.S. inflation report




