EUR/AUD have been dramatically spiking higher at 12.59% for 1W expiries and 12.41% for 1M expiries.
Volatility smiles most frequently show that traders are willing to pay higher implied volatility prices as the strike price grows aggressively out of the money.
The current spot FX is trading at 1.5183, since we expect more dips extending up to 1.5103 levels in near terms, aggressive bears can initiate strategy using ATM puts.
But unlike a simple naked puts, backspreads have an extra long that has not only leveraging effects, a short option at a lower strike that caps your reward but also reduces the net cost of the trade.
So, the recommendation for now is to go long in 2 lots of 1M At-The-Money Vega puts that would function effectively in higher IV times.
And on the other hands, short 1 lot of 1W (1%) ITM put option that would generate assured returns on any abrupt rallies, even if it drifts sideways the premiums will wipe off on time decay.
The Vega would be at its maximum when the option is at ATM and declines exponentially as the option moves ITM or OTM owing to every tiny shift in IVs that will make no difference on the likelihood of an option far out-of-the-money expiring ITM or on the likelihood of an option far into-the-money not expiring ITM.
EURAUD ATM options would be far more sensitive since higher IV greatly increases their chances of expiring ITM which is why we prefer ATM strikes to adding more weights in longs of this strategy.


NZD/JPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Gains as Resistance Holds
AUDJPY Under Pressure: Bearish Technicals Signal Further Downside for the Aussie
Dollar Dominance: USDCHF Defies Resistance Amid Greenback Surge
NZDJPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Gains Traction as Kiwi Weakens
FxWirePro: USD/CAD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong
Bitcoin Retreats Toward Critical Support as Geopolitical Winds Shift
GBP/JPY Technical Outlook: Pound Gains Ground Amid Geopolitical Consolidation
Bitcoin Retreats as Geopolitical Tensions Flare: BTC/USD Dips Following Iran’s Rejection of Ceasefire
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD steadies around 1.6750, retains bid tone
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD bulls struggles as upside momentum fades
FxWirePro: USD/CNY hits 3-week high as safe-haven demand lifts dollar
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: AUD/USD hovers near two-month low, outlook bearish
FxWirePro: USD/JPY edges higher but bulls lack punch
FxWirePro: NZD/USD recovers slightly but downtrend likely to resume




